Agri Food 2010 Committee

Executive Summary

Context

The agri-food sector will face major challenges in the next decade, arising from a variety of sources. We have at best only a few years to prepare to meet these challenges, and this will require major changes at all levels from the farm to the retailer.

We cannot predict the outcome of the new round of world trade negotiations, but we can say with some confidence that they will lead to further trade liberalisation. Change in EU policy will be driven by the outcome of these negotiations and by EU enlargement and budget pressures. These issues will come to a head as early as 2003 when a review of the EU agriculture budget is due, which may coincide with a decisive phase in the trade and enlargement negotiations. The overall picture that emerges of the likely future is of a much more challenging environment, which will expose any lack of competitiveness in the agri-food system.

These changes in the international policy context will be matched by new trends in the EU food market. This market is changing rapidly and fundamentally, driven both by new consumer lifestyles and concerns and by globalisation and concentration at retail level. The effect of these changes has been to squeeze margins for processors and farmers and to place much greater emphasis on innovation, marketing and food safety assurance. These trends will intensify in the next ten years and further changes will emerge from the much wider application of new technology. The future success of our food industry will depend crucially on our ability to develop and apply the skills needed in this new marketplace.

Farm structures are also changing and this process will intensify in our ‘tiger’ economy. The threshold for an acceptable income is rising, and in the future full-time farmers will need output of at least 70,000 gallons of milk, or the equivalent in other enterprises, to be viable. Part-time farming will continue to grow rapidly. The Committee believes that it is likely that by 2010 we will have 20,000 full-time and 60,000 part-time farmers, with a further 20,000 in transitional groups.

Vision

The Committee’s vision for the future of agriculture and the food industry is framed in the context of the challenging future that lies ahead. It envisages:

- A dynamic agricultural sector, consisting of both full-time and part-time farming households, which is

- A competitive food industry

Achieving this vision will require great change. This will need the committed action of all participants in the industry and a clear focus in public policy. The Committee has identified a set of strategic actions, which are necessary for the kind of transformation that is required. These changes will not be achieved without pain, but the alternative is far greater difficulty at a later stage.

Consumer Needs

Addressing consumer needs and concerns must be the absolute priority for all stages of the food chain – farmers, the food processing industry, retailers and food service.

Food Industry

Significant changes will be required if the food industry is to be profitable and to prosper in the increasingly competitive and demanding market conditions that are developing.

Agriculture

Agricultural policy must be framed with a full understanding of the differing needs and capacities of full and part-time farmers, and in the light of the challenging environment which farmers will face in the future.

Rural Development

Agriculture and the food industry have a significant capacity to contribute to sustainable rural development, as recognised in the White Paper on Rural Development.

New Technology

In order to prepare for the technological changes that will occur in the first decade of the new century, the sector will need to:

Support Services

The support services operated by four of the main State agencies involved (DAFRD, Teagasc, Bord Bia and Enterprise Ireland) play a crucial role in the development of the agri-food sector. Their focus is changing to adapt to the new challenges facing the sector.

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